This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Sweden. It turned out to be a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi fall off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to receive my 3rd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, and then I am going to take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of the card this week and he is also the largest betting favored on the card. I think we can pile this main event in cash games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not positive whether I will do that or not. I’ll for sure have Gustafsson within my money lineup though and he’s who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I believe he’s the highest ceiling about the card and that I think he gets a complete inside this fight. Perhaps with numerous takedowns. He will be exceedingly well known in GPPs so in the event that you want to escape from him I think the tournaments are the areas for that. I’ll be locking him into my cash lineup though .
GPP drama of this week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her struggle and I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s best path to victory is punishing Lansberg on the ground and that scores tremendously if she can do that. In addition, I believe she could get a finish. I think she is in play in all formats and I do think she’s 100+ upside down here and that is why she’s my GPP play of the week. There are not many UFC matchups I would say that for using Evinger at this point in her career, but this one seems perfect for her. I believe she dominates this battle and ends it with floor in pound in round 2 or 1. If that is true, she must score well and win a person $25k.
Underdog play of the week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I’m forced to play Devin Clark this week since he is only $7.5k but he’s the current gaming favorite. I really like that type of value on DraftKings and that’s what is forcing me to roster him. We must include”underdogs” within our DK lineups and when we can really get a favorite, or possibly a roster with 6 favorites, which helps our odds of hitting all 6 fights and hopefully taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be hot this week also due to this value, therefore I think he’s in play as a money game block and if you want, but in GPPs you’ll need to have him in more than ~33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the field.
Fade of the week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is an easy fade for me this week. She’s $8.6k but she’s the underdog about the betting line. She is also +365 to acquire ITD. If I’m paying that cost on DK I need higher completing upside or somebody who’ll be heading for a lot of takedowns. I don’t see her having a lot of a ceiling in this fight even though she does win so I do not see her being around the $25k lineup. That’s the reason I will be full fading Santana this week. If I had been making 150 lineups afterward I would add her in the combination, but I’d need 50 lineups before I even considered using her.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 79-48 to get +256.49u (+$25,649) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)