UFC 234 is set to occur less than two weeks from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. With the card fast coming up, there have sadly been some injuries and a couple of fights are affected. Here’s an update on the latest fights for UFC 234 in the current MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped on short notice and will take on rising prospect Jimmy Crute at a light heavyweight conflict. News of the new matchup was first shown by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall in the UFC while dividing his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since going around 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio and a surprising TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his final struggle. Alvey has settled into the role of gatekeeper, despite the loss to Nogueira he remains a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the ideal opponent. Note that Alvey was initially set to fight Gadzhimurad Antigulov at UFC Fight Night 145 prior to being pulled with this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked great in his UFC debut as he filed Paul Craig. He is only 22-years old and contains tons of assurance as an undefeated potential. He’s the Aussie native and has all the pressure on him, but he hasn’t shown any signs of not being able to fulfill the hype. From all accounts, Crute looks like he’s some of the qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
In terms of the odds, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I’d have bet him at those chances as I watched worth there. Against Alvey, I don’t see any reason why Crute would not be a huge favorite. I would peg him about -300 inside this fight, and I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 ranks.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on short notice when he takes on Jalin Turner in UFC 234. Nolan King broke the news.
Potter (16-7) is a local Aussie fighter and was riding an eight-fight win series prior to being filed by Marcin Held at ACB in his final struggle. He really has quite a lot of expertise, having struggled Jake Matthews earlier in his career. But he’s got no notable wins. Be aware that all of Potter’s struggles have finished inside the space — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was knocked out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. That was always going to be a difficult matchup for Turner, and I’m still not sure why the UFC set up him as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, though he’s been knocked out three times himself which is of class concerning.
Turner is the bigger name and had a complete camp so I do expect him to be favored, but I think Potter has a fairly good chance here. Nevertheless, this might be a struggle where the props could be the best bet, along with the prop I’ll be on the lookout for is the fight ending inside the distance, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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